Yes, I know, the Democratic race will be won state by state and not by national polls.
And yes, Biden leads in the national polls by a comfortable margin:
36-17-8-5 (Harris poll: numbers are Biden, Sanders, Harris, Warren).
But in the same Harris poll, Biden leads Harris 41-38 in head to head, Sanders 43-41 and TRAILS Warren 39-41 (ok, all are within “margin of error”)
But the point is, it appears that Biden doesn’t go up that much from 36 on the head-to-head match ups, but the other goes up. So, things could get interesting. Will the D primary go to “Joe” vs. “not Joe”? And if so…the “not Joe” may well have an excellent chance.
And…it might be that Bernie hanging around will hurt the “not-Joe”.
Who knows. And CAVEAT The Harris is just one poll. The Echelon Insights poll have Joe blowing away the competition in the head-to-head, with 61-25 vs. Sanders, and 6x-(less than 20) for all other challengers.