Why I think the Democrats are in deep trouble…

Yes, I know, the President’s party usually loses seats in the first midterm, but often that is compensating for the President’s “coattails” in the previous election.

But in 2020: there weren’t really any of those; Biden outperformed down ticket Democrats, probably because Trump was so unpopular.

The situation looks grim (per FiveThirtyEight)

Some are claiming that the abortion issue will help us. I am deeply skeptical.

Reason: where abortion rights have popular support, those rights are protected by state laws. Where abortion rights are not protected by state law, well, that isn’t a winning issue in such places. That is my reasoning. I could be wrong.

Then I think about how Democrats speak to the public.
This is how I think it SHOULD be done:

Notice what he does:

  1. He makes Social Security PERSONAL; it affects YOU immediately, either directly or indirectly (do you want gramps moving in with you?)
  2. He stays away from identity politics: race, sex, gender identity are NOT mentioned. None of this “and this especially affects demographic X” that so many Democrats like to say.
  3. He talks about Social Security as an *earned* benefit. People LIKE to earn things.

It appears to me that Democrats are likely to say “feel sorry for X” and you should sacrifice for their welfare.

I sure hope my pessimism is unwarranted.

Author: oldgote

I enjoy politics, reading, science, running, walking, (racewalking and ultrawalking) hiking, swimming, yoga, weight lifting, cycling and reading. I also follow football (college and pro), basketball (men and women) and baseball (minor league and college)

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