Step back…

I did some deadlifts this morning, then a deliberate but modest effort walk in glorious weather:

Deadlifts: deficit: 10 x 134, 10 x 184, 1 x 224 (saving it)

neutral (still low handles) 1 x 254; harder than it should have been.

High handles: 1 x 284 (didn’t seem that hard once I made myself work at it)

Miss at 294 (kind of gave up)
1 x 274 (still high handles

then low handles: neutral: 10 x 224 (pretty easy).

The walk: I did have one 15 minute mile (the end) when I lost focus just a bit. Should have pushed.

State of the race 31 October

How the Cook Political Report sees it.

Electoral Vote

Note the light colored states are “single digit leads”; Real Clear politics calls those states “toss ups” if they are for Biden but calls some of the light pink ones for Trump (Kansas, Missouri, South Carolina). Biden leads PA by 6, Michigan by 9, Minnesota and Nevada by 7, Wisconsin by 8.

This is Real Clear Politics “map with toss ups”. They give a lot of weight to priors in Republican states..perhaps based on the 2016 result.

This is Real Clear’s “no tossups” map; this might be one way to view the center of the 95 percent confidence interval. To get the upper ends, shade all of the toss ups one way or the other.

This is FiveThirtyEight’s snake diagram, which shows the states lined up as to how close they are and the line represents the 270 to win mark. They give Biden a 90 percent chance of winning the Electoral College.

This is The Upshot (New York Times) “what if the polls were off as much as they were in 2012 and in 2016” chart.

Using this criteria; the real tossups would be Iowa, Texas and Maine 2’nd. Trump gets Ohio.

So using this:

30 October

Ok, out of order, but I started outdoors with pull ups, went inside, then back outdoors again for push ups, then head stand.

Usual warm up

pull ups: singles, 2 sets of 10, 5’s and singles, enough to get to 55

bench press: 10 x 132 then the pyramid:
1 x 181, 2 x 176, 3 x 171, 4 x 165, 5 x 159 7 x 155 all with pauses.

shoulder presses: stared with 10 x 40 seated, unsupported (kind of sloppy)
barbell sets with 88: 10, 8, 8

seated shoulder with 38: 10
trap bar rows: 5 sets of 10 x 134

outdoor: push ups: 30, 20, 15

headstand (had to try twice)

Election: Biden is now at 90 percent at Fivethirtyeight, though the snake diagram has Trump favored (ok, toss up) in Ohio and Iowa. Biden lean in Georgia.