Yeah, I am checking 538 way too much. What can I say?
Workout notes:

Yes, it is dark when I am out there. I need to get some “grip gloves” that will let me grip that cold pole.
Pull ups: decent quality; singles, doubles, then sets of 5..enough to get 55. Happy with the quality.
shoulder press/trap bar row: 3 sets of 10 x 40 seated, 3 sets of 10 x 134
bench press: 2 sets of 10 x 144 pause reps.
shoulder press (seated barbell) 10 x 90, 10 x 88
trap bar deadlifts: 10 x 134, 10 x 184, 10 x 206 (all deficit); time to step up the 206 to bit heavier.
2:30 plank, headstand.
What I am thinking:
In 2016, this is what the various models predicted:

This time, 538 says 88 percent Biden.
It is still too close for comfort though the polls are looking pretty good right now.