Probably no convention bounce but…is one really needed?

As far as persuasion: if you still think that Trump is doing a good job there is nothing at this point that will persuade you otherwise.
So it is just a matter of getting the not-Trump vote to show up, and it sure looks like that is what will happen. Maybe. FiveThirtyEight says that Biden has about a 73 percent chance. So, random NBA player is at the line shooting one free throw. If he makes it, Biden wins. And yes, that is MORE likely than a miss, but…well, we’ve seen plenty of misses.
Betting markets: 60/40 Democrats.

Well, we’ve seen this before, but Biden just doesn’t carry the controversy that Hillary Clinton did…though …to be honest, I’d rather have her as POTUS than him. But he is better positioned to win.

Still, the political sides really do not “get” one another.

This whole thread is good, but at least read the first 2:

And no, I do NOT believe that “liberals are smart.” There are a LOT of stupid ones. And there are smart ones..and yes, smart conservatives.

Of course, conservatives don’t get “us” either. I’ll write about that at a later time.

getting warmed up

Today’s workout: really not that bad.

Deadlifts 10 x 134, 10 x 184 (at a deficit: stood on 10 kg plates)
5 x 224 (easy)
5 x 244 (not that bad)
4 x 254 (not easy, but not torture)
couldn’t get myself to honestly try 274..probably too tired.
Then some glute exercises with and w/o 44 lb plate. Note: left glute IS weaker

Then 5.15 walk at 14:49 (finished faster than I started)

no glute pain at all. Go figure.

About the deadlifts: yes, 224 was more than I could do a year ago, and 254 is more than I could do at the start of this year. Progress wasn’t as fast as I wanted but any progress at all is ok.

Oops..I still need collars

My right forearm is a bit sore. I’ll tell you why in just a bit.

I was lazy with my workout today; started out with my warmup/PT exercises
10 sets of 5 pull ups (mostly good quality) then 10 penalty singles (to account for sloppy reps)
bench press: played with my shiny new 45’s.

10 x 134
2 sets of 6 x 174 (surprised a bit… so I switched to my old cast iron 44’s and 22’s
4 x 176 (last rep..weights slid off on that last rep; right arm hit the spotter pin. That pissed me off as I was getting it. But, well, it really felt..slightly heavier. As it should.
3 x 181 (to make up for that missing rep); though set.

rows: 8 x 134 trap, 2 sets of 8 x 145
seated shoulder: 10 x 10, 2, collar on each side 36 kg or 80 lb., then 10 x 84
push ups: 50 in 3:17 (20, 10, 10, 10) I thought about 100..ugh. Nope

I feel it in my shoulders.

Bottom line: the days of lifetime PBs are over. The days of respectable lifts for a 195 lb. guy are over. Now it is about keeping my body from turning into jello and having some fun along the way.
The days of pin-presses, block pulls, blah, blah…nope. If I have energy/time left over, I do another set of the basic movement.

Caring less about platform; more about WHO

In the last few elections, I’ve cared less about platforms and more about “can this candidate execute?” “Do they have demonstrated competence and command of the facts?” And for the first time in my life: “do they actually care about others?”

Really, most of the time I see empathy as being overrated (e .g I want a pilot who can fly the plane..a surgeon who can do the operation) but I see the result of a total lack of empathy.

So, at least for me, and I suspect for others, “decency, competency, and NOT THE INCUMBENT” is more than enough.

For sure, it won’t be enough to persuade all. There are those who:

1. Thinks the economy is doing fine.
2. Thinks that COVID 19 is waaaay overblown…it mostly kills those who were already about to die anyway..(so, “are those really COVID deaths?”)
3. Thinks that BLM is just good old fashioned “liberals coddling criminals”
4. Think that voting D is putting AOC in charge and
5. Think that the D’s want to take money away from the high achievers that deserve it and give it to the lazy no-good-for-nothing riff-raff. Taxes are THEFT.

So Trump will get at least 40 percent of the vote..maybe 45-46 percent and he does have a realistic chance of winning though Nate Silver’s odds (Biden with 70 percent chance of winning the EC) sounds about right to me.

Anyhow, the Democrats are running on competence and decency; argue about policy later. And we need a broad coalition. Biden understands this even if liberal firebrands do not.

Some political thoughts

Confession: I have not watched much of the DNC convention. I did watch Michele Obama’s speech and Barack’s. I watched Amy Klobuchar’s (and really liked it).

Oh, no worries, I’ve already set up a recurring donation to the Biden/Harris campaign. And when Klobuchar withdrew, Harris is the one I wanted. So I am happy with the ticket.

But the convention itself: it kind of reminds me of the old days when you visited a family and they brought out the dreaded family photo album to show you how AWESOME their kids were in their respective recitals etc.

I see the convention as a bit of a reward for the various “activists” who, of course, want their cause to be front and center. Whatever.

Yes, the activists irritate the hell out of me. And the woke “hall monitors” are borderline insufferable.

But…here is the choice: the “activist” might want to push the term “Latnix” on you (BTW, thank you President Obama for using “Latino” instead) But the other choice is the party which currently embraces the racists who hate you for being what you are.

Sorry Jeb Bush, this IS your current party:

The party of Republicans who speak like this is DEAD as a doornail.

And, in my opinion, Trump is incompetent. Period. Were he competent he’d be sailing to victory. Yes, he still might win (the EC anyway, which is what counts; he won’t win the popular vote) but I see the “30 percent chance” of a Trump EC victory as being about right.

So, for me, this election really isn’t about policy proposals; it is about competence vs. incompetence, decency vs vulgarity.

It sucks when the POTUS is an anti-example; can you imagine a business hiring someone who acts that way in public? It sucks that you have to tell your kids to NOT conduct yourself in public the way that POTUS does.

And yes, I warmly welcome the help of the Lincoln Project Republicans; I hope you rebuild your party into something that I might consider joining or voting for from time to time.

And here is one big irony:
My parents were lifelong Democrats. They were not educated (neither made it INTO high school; both got GEDs) but they wanted me to be.
But they feared two things..well, my mom did anyway:

1. I’d loves my religious faith. And sure enough, that fear came to pass; superstition is one thing I cast aside.
2. I’d become a Republican. If that seems strange, remember that at that time, Republicans were people who were proud of their educations; they embraced science and reason and were mostly pro-business. The idea of a Republican scientist was not ridiculous in those days. They also were civic minded; they would invest in the country if they thought it forwarded the common good. They believed that you had a responsibility to “give back.”
My parents fear is that they were too “pro-rich, anti-poor.”

Well, no fear of my ever joining the party of racists, science deniers and conspiracy kooks.

Yes, there are some very loud liberal kooks too but at least there are still SOME of us who push back against them. And mostly, the worst of the kooks aren’t elected to national office.

Off to stretch and walk.

Shiny new plates

A shout out to Weigh it Out where they will cut you new steel weight plates. Day one with ’em: love ’em.

They fit well…they advertise accuracy (I didn’t weigh them myself, TBH) but …they are dense because they are steel and they FEEL heavier than my usual plates. There is a reason for that. Roughly speaking, the smaller area to lift the plates (when you pick them up) means more pressure AND the brain does its own internal calculation as to how much force to exert.

I saw that when I brought the boxes in: the four 10 lb, two 5 lb box had 50 lb of weight in it, but the box was compact, as opposed to the 45 lb boxes (two of them).

Oh, the lifting? Same old…nothing has changed; my current weights weren’t “light”

warm up (piriformis is tight; tried the “how does your legs rotate” test..huge difference in sides) 4:50 into this video:

I need to do these:

Now..to the workout:

pull ups: 10, then 8 sets of 5, 10 singles (60) went ok
bench press: 10 x 134, 9 x 164, 9 x 164 (decent)
rows: 3 sets of 8 x 134 trap bar
seated shoulder: 3 sets of 10 with 79, 83, 83
trap dead: 10 x 184, 10 x 184 deficit, 10 x 204 deficit (all done slowly and delibertly)
plank (2:30)
headstand

About 80 minutes, as usual. Maybe 70?

off for more course prep.

Running on fumes…

I know, the semester hasn’t even started. But I spent the day getting rid of bib-tex errors. Yep..so much of the pain of getting something ready for publication is simple formatting. Ugh.
In the days of old, secretaries did the typing…either before, or at the journal. Now the author is expected to.

Workout notes; weights only: 80 minutes

warm up
pull ups: 10:20 for 50. Took to long to do the final 10 reps.
bench press: 10 x 132, 3 sets of 5 x 176 (decent set)
trap bar squat: 10 x 156, 10 x 167, 10 x 167 (took care to keep an upright torso)
outside: shoulder presses: 3 sets of 10 x 44 dumbbells
rows: 5 sets of 10 x 60
palms facing each other presses: 3 sets of 10 x 30. Not that hard except this was a super set with:
push ups: 2 sets of 20, 3 sets of 10.

I’ll do my won for the fall semester; no gym for me.

Just the facts

Today; 10K walk in 1:28:16 (14:13 pace); last 2 miles were 28:03. Yes, the piriformis tingled (slightly hurt); I did take naproxen first. But the life was there in the legs, and posture, posture, posture.
I need to work on that gluteus medius. And I’ll cut back a bit when this virtual ultra (walking) is over.

So, how to fill in those final 3:56? My first goal is 85 miles; second goal is 90. That shouldn’t be too tough.

Socially:

It was Tracy time (short visit, social distancing)

And our 6 pm “gang of 3 bunnies” showed up.

College: well, somehow I think that we won’t get social distancing from the students.

Sure, in my department, most of our courses are online anyway, though that is due to large section sizes and classrooms that can’t hold them in a responsible way.