Rolling with the unexpected

I was sort of psyched to run outdoors but ..didn’t want cold rain.

So after yoga, to the track: (outer lane this time: 40 laps of the outer lane of the Riverplex track (7.3 laps to the mile; splits are 1.096 miles, total is 5.48 miles:)
55:25. 12:18, 11:22, 11:02, 10:39, 10:01. I wanted sub 10 for the last 8 laps..but let myself slide to 5:08 4 laps into that segment and couldn’t quite make it up. So total, this was just over a 10 minute pace, which included the 2 slow miles to start with.

So, now to make up notes, grade, etc.

Note: the first mile was painful in that..my legs felt heavy, my breathing was heavy and I just didn’t feel great. But I got going and it got better. Evidently that is normal for someone my age. No, I don’t have arthritis (though I was once diagnosed with it) but, I do need to warm up.

How the Democrats shake out

I admit that this surprised me a bit:

But it makes sense when one realizes that “tribes” may well have more to do with who one supports rather than ideas; Warren seems to be leftist as Sanders is, but they appeal to a very different type of voter.

And this is interesting too:

and for more of this hypothetical breakdown, check this out. By this, I’d be somewhat left of center but nowhere near all the way left; I suppose Liberal-Democrat in the UK would describe me.

How will this shake out? I honestly have no clue. My issue with Warren is that she doesn’t seem to have high political aptitude.

But, assuming my first choice (Klobuchar) doesn’t make it, she’d be my 3’rd choice, after Biden. And I have worries about Biden, though his being against federal legalization of recreational marijuana (though he is ok with states doing what they want). Oh, liberals are up in arms, but face it..given that recreational marijuana is already legal in 33 states, this won’t be a big issues…and I wonder how many stoners show up to vote anyway?

Yes, he is in favor of medical marijuana and no, it isn’t a gateway drug. But I really can’t make myself care about this.

What I do care about Evidently Major League Baseball has plans to dump some minor league teams. No, the Chiefs are not on the chopping block, but the Quad Cities Riverbandits, the Clinton Lumberkings and the Burlington Bees are. I sure hope not.

Workout notes Aside from a very rude, clueless cell phone user, it went fine.
rotator cuff, pull ups (5 sets of 10: good), bench: 10 x 135, 3 x 185, incline: 10 x 135, decline 10 x 165, military: 15 x 50 seated, supported 10 x 45 standing, 10 x 180 machine, rows: 3 sets of 10 x 50 single arm, 10 x 110 machine, 2:30 plank. Note: I did 3 sets of goblet squats: 6 x 25, 6 x 25, 6 x 50, but was sore from yesterday’s dead lifts.

The Democratic Primary Race: as I see it:

Disclaimer: I support Klobuchar. I also like Booker and, well, Joe Biden is my “fall back” choice; I honestly think that Elizabeth Warren would have trouble in the Electoral College and Pete Buttigieg is too inexperienced in politics. Well, now you know who I like at the moment: 5 candidates, all with big flaws.

Why Biden and Sanders tend to not vary in the polls as much:

In other words, they have some rock solid support, but neither has enough of it to be THE front runner.

Klobuchar: not inconsequential in the crowded Iowa field.

General political statement: the set up of the US Senate, gerrymandering, and the Electoral Collage makes it harder for Democrats; we need to win by very large margins to win elections.

I’d be VERY comfortable with our position IF the election were decided by popular vote.

Redbirds beat Bears in turnover fest; Bradley beats UIC in basketball

Ok, I got my own workouts in:
Saturday: slow 1:19 Cornstalk 10K run. Sunday: dead lifts in the basement: 5 x 135, 5 X 185, miss 225 (rounded back), 5 x 205, 5 x 185, 5 x 135 sumo, then a 10K plus hilly walk in Bradley park.

Saturday: I made the Illinois State vs. Missouri State game. It was a close one: 17-12 ISU, though Mo. State made it interesting.
The offenses mostly sputtered though two interceptions set up the first Redbird touchdown. The Bears responded with a lovely 74 yard touchdown run up the middle. A weird miss on the 2 point conversion left it 7-6.
A long drive made it 14-6, but Mo. St. got a field goal to cut it to 14-9 at the half.

In the 3’rd: a long Bear drive was thwarted with a botched shotgun formation snap; that lead to a field goal and a 17-9 lead. Mo. State cut it to 17-12 midway through the 4’th.
A turn over set up Mo. State at the 50 but they could not advance and with 2:30 to go in the game, ISU appeared to be in position to run out the clock with a first down. But the 4’th Redbird turnover (fumble with a return) set Mo. State. up late in the game where they got down to the Redbird 8 with first and goal to goal. On the next play, they made it to the 3 where they had 3 tries, but the Redbird defense came through.

Though the game had 42 F and somewhat sunny weather (not that bad..I was actually slightly overdressed), few were there to see it. Official attendance: 5701 though there were lots of no-shows.

That evening: my Hostage and I caught a Bradley Basketball game vs. Illinois-Chicago. UIC came in depleted and BU was favored by 11.5. But woeful first half shooting had the Braves in a 33-25 hole. Great defense held UIC to 10 points in the next 14 minutes or so and Bradley regained the lead (took about 7:20 to tie it at 33) The lead got up to 13 and ended 65-56.

Attendance: 5411 was the official count, though the arena, for a change, looked as if it actually had that many.

photos:

There was drama at the end; the 1-8 Bears showed up and played hard. Both teams made enough mistakes to keep the other team in it.

Great ball game!

The evening basketball game:

stuck on deadlift

I’ll have some other things to say as well:

workout notes: weights only. rotator cuff, pull ups (5 sets of 10, went ok), bench: 10 x 135, 3 x 185 (tough), incline: 10 x 135, decline: 8 x 165 (ran out of gas)
goblet squats: 6 x 25, 6 x 50 (good depth)
hex dead: 5 x 175, 1 x 225 (missed the first..2n’d attempt…OMG), 6 x 185..that getting 225 was long and painful. Yes, handles were turned down.

back stretch, then
military: standing, 10 x 50 dumbbell, 10 x 45, then 10 x 180 machine, rows: 3 sets of 10 x 110
2:30 plank..then went home.

Getting the deadlift..what a slog. I’ve allowed myself to become too weak.

Politics
Elizabeth Warren gave some details about her proposed health care plan:

Senator Elizabeth Warren vowed on Friday to pass major health care legislation in her first 100 days as president, unveiling a new, detailed plan to significantly expand public health insurance coverage as a first step, and promising to pass a “Medicare for all” system by the end of her third year in office that would cover all Americans.

The initial bill she would seek to pass if elected would be a step short of the broader Medicare for all plan she has championed. But it would substantially expand the reach and generosity of public health insurance, creating a government plan that would offer free coverage to all American children and people earning less than double the federal poverty rate, or about $50,000 for a family of four, and that could be purchased by other Americans who want it.

And yes, though Warren is not my candidate, I agree with this approach.

About the politics of it:

But here is the thing: my not backing her isn’t about her not being brilliant (she is) or her not understanding policy (she does…better than anyone else running).

It really is about her skill as a politician, or lack thereof. I think that her political instincts are not good and that she only appeals to a narrow band of the electorate.

Social media:

Irritable

Ok, I did get a thigh cramp in at my yoga workout when the instructor lead us in a extended long boat pose early. But it went away.
Afterward: I tried to pick an isolated treadmill..only to have some guy get the one right next to me, though there were tons of empty ones elsewhere.

So after 1 mile, I moved and got 2 more (22:30) on another and then did 2 more on the track (22:25)…there some old man was yelling on his phone for most of the time. Argh…this is one reason I like getting outdoors.

Weight: 188.

And oh my…the two treadmills I used do NOT make annoying beeping noises when you change the setting, but other treadmills do. So annoying.

Anger at what you cannot change: useful?

Yeah, this is very minor: record cold weather in November. And no, I cannot change the weather. So what good is my anger?
Here is my guess: it drives my response. Instead of burying myself under the covers, I get out there and do what I can do (and that is most things); be it running or walking (IF the footing is suitable…that matters) or going to an outdoor football game, etc.

I suppose it is more “tapas” than anger but whatever works.

Yes, it was 11 F again, and very windy this morning, and the roads were mostly icy. So the walk was indoors.

Weights: 15-15-10-10-5 pull ups (good), rotator cuff, goblet squats: 6 x 25, 45, 60, 65 (65 was “to the bench” and I did 7 reps but only counted 6 since I missed a touch), 70 (to the sill..got all 6), military: 2 sets of 15 seated, supported, with 50, 1 set of 10 with 45 standing, 3 sets of one armed rows with 50.
plank…
then track walking: lane 1: 13:07, 12:00, 1:36 “penalty lap” for 26:44 (just over 2)

Age note: OMG, I get out of breath when I do a set of 15 pull ups, or when the squats are with 60 or more.

Commentary

You know you are getting old (or are already there) when most of the memes you see in the gym do NOT apply to you. No, I am NOT progressing…I am slowing the rate of my demise. Yes, I am making slight adjustments (adding squats and hex dead lifts) but..well, in the dead lift, I am not going to see 400+ lb again and probably not even 300 again. 250-270 would be nice.

I am sliding down the hill and all I can do is reduce the rate of my slide.

BUT….BUT.. at least I am not deciding on what pain medications to use or how to adjust my walker…and that is something to be grateful for.

So, what about Warren vs. Biden?

Yeah, I am still a Klobuchar man, but I feel this will come down to Biden vs. Warren. So, who has the upper hand, and why? Who would do better vs. Trump?

Well, some of what is in this article surprised me:

It is often posited, for instance, that Democrats face a choice between a moderate who might win back a crucial sliver of white working-class voters who flipped from Barack Obama to Donald Trump, or a progressive who might mobilize a new coalition of young progressives, perhaps especially in the rapidly diversifying Sun Belt states.

But for the most part, these choices are not grounded in the attitudes of the electorate in the most competitive states.

Instead, the polls’ results on persuadable and low-turnout voters suggest that the Democratic focus on Obama-to-Trump voters, or on low-turnout progressives, is largely misplaced.

The party’s leading candidates have not yet reached the real missing piece of the Democratic coalition: less educated and often younger voters who are not conservative but who disagree with the party’s cultural left and do not share that group’s unrelenting outrage at the president’s conduct. […]

One might have also assumed that Elizabeth Warren’s real weakness would be among white, working-class voters. It was Mrs. Clinton’s great weakness and Mr. Biden’s supposed strength. Some parts of Ms. Warren’s background — a liberal college professor from Massachusetts — would not seem to make her a natural fit.

Ms. Warren isn’t particularly strong among white voters without a college degree. But this is not the biggest source of her gap with Mr. Biden in our general election polling: For starters, she underperforms Mr. Biden among well-educated white voters by even more than she does among white working-class voters.

Her challenge is particularly great in the best-educated areas. In census tracts where at least 45 percent have a college degree, she leads Mr. Trump by 15 points, compared with Mr. Biden’s 23-point lead.

She struggles with politically moderate, educated voters. Here is a summary by the author:

Note: a high turnout election might not hurt Trump.

Back to the main article:

The lower level of education, in particular, presents a unifying challenge for the left: It makes it harder for them to win over or mobilize irregular voters. Today’s activist left draws its intellectual energy from critiques of capitalism, patriarchy, white supremacy and structures of domination. These have their origins in academia, and while they have spread widely in recent years, their advocates rely on academic language like intersectionality and white privilege. Many younger, well-educated liberals are immersed in these arguments, and they believe they have almost a moral obligation to challenge structures of power.

Older or less educated voters, on the other hand, might have no idea what they’re talking about. Some could be baffled by the argument that there could be a Black History Month but not a White History Month. Others simply might not share the same deep, systematic critique of American society. It is no surprise that voters like these would say that political correctness has gone too far, as our polling showed.

And yes, I am aware of the arguments made by today’s young liberal activists….but I reject many of them as being, well, crackpot arguments.

Too early for this…

It is not even Thanksgiving and it is 12 F outside.

So: workout was yoga with Ms. V. then 5 miles on the treadmill: 5 at 5.2, 5 at 5.3 then alternating 2:30 of 6.7 with 2:30 of 5.3, 8 repetitions. then some 5.3 and increasing speed to get to 5 miles in 50:57 (11:18/39:41)
Strangely enough, the first 30 minutes of the 2:30 alternating pace felt good; it didn’t get challenging until the 6’th rep; then the 7’th and 8’th reps were tough.

getting it..order matters

Blasted myself out of bed.

weights only: rotator cuff, 5 sets of 10, 1 of 5 pull ups
bench: 10 x 135, 2 x 185
incline: 10 x 135
decline: 10 x 165
hex dead: 4 x 175, 1 x 225 (got it..handles down), 3 x 205
goblet squats: 6 x 35, 6 x 60
military: 2 sets of 10 x 45 standing, 10 x 180 machine
rows: 2 sets of 10 x 110 machine, 10 x 200 Hammer
2:30 plank, head stand

Still, 225 being hard is embarrassing