Ok, the 2020 election, barring something that I can NOT realistically foresee, will be between Donald Trump and whoever the Democrats can find. So, my interest is mainly in the Democratic primary. My favorite candidates are Amy Klobuchar, Corey Booker and Kamala Harris (all US Senators) but only Sen. Harris appears to have enough traction to have a realistic shot. But it is early.
One issue I have is that I spend quite a bit of time on Twitter and the Democratic voters I see there represent a small, distinct subgroup of Democrats; they do NOT reflect the Democratic electorate at all. And what I read in articles is often based on such smaller, noisy groups.
And there appears to be rifts. You have a “Bernie” faction and a “NO BERNIE” faction, and neither side appears to care for the other. And among the “NO BERNIE SANDERS” faction you have different groups: the identity politics/”woke group” and the “no socialism” group.
Trump is unpopular..especially so given that the economy is doing ok. So, expanding beyond his current base will be hard to do. BUT, will he have to? Right now, we Democrats appear to be in disarray and I have zero confidence that we’ll unite behind anyone.
So as for right now, I’d have to say that Trump will be reelected (I say that without much confidence).
Life of an old goat 